Great Analysis, Mike--
But let me add the following.
The "Suits"
absolutely control things. My wife (who once wore a suit at that time!) was in the Mix and Rates--Options Analysis department at Ford, and those group of
suits set the manufacturing model for the packaging of options, mix of colors, etc. that were manufactured. Caveat: the suits don't always get it right, even armed with a lot of data. Show me one manufacturer that doesn't have one leftover model somewhere. Even Honda is having an end of model year sale--the ads are on television every night now. Quite ironically the cars in the ads are bright red...
Your most recent analysis didn't cover the emotional/unemotional color thing I raised. Yes, people want certain colors. But, for example, let's say you passionately wanted a Signal Red SL
; you couldn't find it. It is unlikely you'd walk, in my opinion if you were offered Brilliant Silver; but if the only option is Metallic Green, you may very well pass on it. That data interpreted incorrectly would mean you bought silver because you wanted it. That's the PPG model. As I've mentioned, I've
satificed on most colors I've ordered, and we get 2 new cars every year, and have so for the past 10 years. I can never seem to get the mix of color I want. So I settle for something OK, but not the first choice. Am I the ONLY person doing that? I hardly think so.
BTW, Brilliant Silver and Black (w/o fingerprints that is) look particularly fetching in the highly-specular light of a dealer showroom which at least partially explains your observation! Blue doesn't look as nice.
You mentioned the PPG study being used for other trends. Well, from what I read, Blue is the in color for 2008, from Pantone. But home paint colors, interior furnishings, etc. all have their own "institutes" and trend-reporters. Don't expect that however to alter the mix of colors available at any car dealer.
The silver/white/black thing in cars avoids entirely the avocado/harvest gold/dark brown phenomenah of kitchens in the late 1960's and early 1970's. Those were the trendy "had to have" colors in kitchens and appliances during that time. Shortly they became the "what was I thinking?" colors of the late 1970's and on. Those who stuck with Stainless Steel or White were never out of favor, but never on the cutting edge...
You are absolutely 100% right about the faster-moving sales colors.
But I think a true survey of what people bought versus what they wanted would be revealing--and as I pointed out with that article, I'm not the only one who thinks availability has as much to do with sales as desire.
If you are in the retail car business, for the next year after you close each and every sale, (make sure the deal is signed) you should ask your customer if they could have had any color in the world on the car they just bought, what would it have been? I'd be interested to hear if the car they got is the #1 color choice.
Michael Salemi
1969 280SL
Signal Red 568G w/Black Leather (Restored)
President, International Stars Section
Mercedes-Benz Club of America