Hi, although the pinion oil seal won't leak at rest, if you drive the car for some distance and it is leaking, the oil can blow back onto the diff casing itself and then drip down in your garage later, however this won't be a lot. I have changed my pinion seal some time ago and the diff still leaks so it looks like a major for me, because I have not heard of many people have success with the split type rubber bellws replacement. be delighted to hear from anyone who is happy with this fix.